The Indian Wells Open begins with first-round matches scheduled for March 4th and 5th. While the top 32 seeds in both the men’s and women’s draws receive a bye into the second round, the initial stage still offers significant tennis action and betting opportunities.
Adrian Mannarino vs Matteo Berrettini
Adrian Mannarino has a 2-0 head-to-head record against Matteo Berrettini, winning both previous encounters in straight sets. However, one of these victories dates back to 2018, tempering its immediate relevance.
After a strong finish to the previous season, including a win over Cam Norrie, Matteo Berrettini holds a modest 3-3 record early this year.
This clash between two seasoned tour players is expected to be closely contested, potentially going to three sets. A longer match could be advantageous for Alexander Zverev, who awaits the winner in the next round.
Prediction: Both players to win a set (13/10)
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Former world number three Stefanos Tsitsipas currently ranks two places higher than former world number ten Denis Shapovalov. The victor of this first-round encounter will advance to play Tomás Martín Etcheverry in the second round, with a potential third-round clash against Jannik Sinner looming.
Tsitsipas recently suffered defeats to Andrey Rublev in Doha and Ugo Humbert in Dubai. While Shapovalov’s recent form appears slightly better, neither player boasts a particularly strong history in the ‘Sunshine Swing’ tournaments.
Significantly, Shapovalov holds an undefeated 4-0 record against Tsitsipas on hard courts, a trend we expect him to continue.
Prediction: Denis Shapovalov to win 2-1 (15/4)
Sloane Stephens vs Camila Osorio
The winner between Sloane Stephens and Camila Osorio will proceed to face Iva Jovic in the second round. Stephens, currently ranked outside the top 1000, has not secured a main draw victory since the first round of Wimbledon in 2024.
Osorio experienced a tough close to the previous season and struggled in the Australian and New Zealand swings. She found her rhythm with a win in Manila and delivered strong showings before her loss to Jelena Ostapenko in Doha.
Assuming Osorio is fully recovered from her withdrawal last week, she is favored to win this match decisively.
Prediction: Camila Osorio to win 2-0 (10/11)
Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva
Just over a year ago, Yulia Putintseva was ranked 20th globally, but she has since dropped to 94th. While she showed glimpses of improvement in Adelaide and Melbourne, the 31-year-old Kazakh player suffered a first-round defeat to Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva in Merida.
Paula Badosa’s recent form is considerably more troubling, with five losses in her last seven matches. Her inconsistent first serve is a significant concern for a power-dependent player.
Despite Badosa winning their last two encounters, Putintseva has demonstrated greater potential recently and should be a consideration for outright predictions at the Indian Wells Open.
Prediction: Yulia Putintseva to win (11/8)