The highly anticipated UFC 329 lightweight bout between Benoit Saint-Denis and Paddy Pimblett is scheduled for May 24, 2026, at the prestigious T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. As the event approaches, initial betting markets have established Saint-Denis as the slight favorite, with Pimblett entering as the underdog.
The current betting lines see Saint-Denis at approximately -170, while Pimblett is listed around +145. Although the market anticipates a Saint-Denis victory, Pimblett’s notable profile and recent performances ensure that the matchup remains competitive and engaging for bettors.
Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett Odds
Benoit Saint-Denis, with a professional record of 17 wins, 3 losses, and 1 no contest, is recognized for his aggressive finishing style. His UFC statistics highlight a strong submission game, boasting 10 submission victories and 4 knockouts. His background in judo and experience in French special forces contribute to his pressure-oriented fighting approach.
Paddy Pimblett enters the octagon with a record of 23 wins and 4 losses. His UFC profile indicates a well-rounded skill set, particularly in grappling, although his defensive metrics are less robust compared to his offensive output. Pimblett’s recent outings include a unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje in January 2026, preceded by victories over notable opponents such as Michael Chandler, King Green, Tony Ferguson, Jared Gordon, Jordan Leavitt, Kazula Vargas, and Luigi Vendramini.
UFC 329 will also feature the return of Conor McGregor in a rematch against Max Holloway.
Regarding method of victory betting, Saint-Denis presents a more straightforward pick for those favoring the favorite, particularly given his propensity for finishes. His finishing history suggests a submission or late stoppage is a likely outcome. Pimblett’s path to victory typically involves engaging in grappling exchanges, creating scrambles, and seeking his own submission opportunities. If the betting lines remain close to their opening numbers, a Saint-Denis stoppage is the market’s most probable prediction, with Pimblett winning by decision or submission representing the primary upset scenarios.
From a betting preview perspective, this lightweight encounter has the potential for significant line movement based on betting action. While Saint-Denis currently holds the favored position, the margin is not substantial enough to dismiss Pimblett, whose name recognition and recent wins maintain significant public interest.
The prevailing narrative in the betting market suggests Saint-Denis as the favorite and Pimblett as a value play. The method of victory market appears to lean towards a stoppage rather than a drawn-out decision. If the current odds hold, backing Saint-Denis to win by stoppage is the most logical early approach. However, Pimblett as an underdog offers an attractive proposition for bettors seeking value.