Wed. May 20th, 2026

UFC Odds: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Betting Analysis

The upcoming bout between Song Yadong and Deiveson Figueiredo presents an intriguing betting opportunity in UFC Macau. This matchup features a promising young bantamweight contender against a former flyweight champion whose reputation still influences the betting market. Early betting trends favor Song, sparking a discussion about fighter form, combat style, and finishing potential.

Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Betting Odds

Song Yadong is positioned as the clear favorite against Deiveson Figueiredo for their UFC Macau encounter on May 30th at Galaxy Arena. The betting lines, which opened for this main event fight, have significantly shifted in Song’s favor. Current odds show Song around -590 with some bookmakers and between -550 and -560 with others, while Figueiredo is priced at approximately +390 to +410, indicating a substantial difference in perceived probabilities.

Song’s advantages stem from his youth, consistent activity, and suitability for the bantamweight division. His official record stands at 22-9-1, compared to Figueiredo’s 25-6-1. Song, younger and taller with a 5’8″ frame, holds a physical edge over the 5’5″ Figueiredo. Despite his January loss to Sean O’Malley, Song’s recent performance remains relevant. That defeat came via scorecard after a competitive five-round bout against a top contender.

Prior to that, Song secured a technical decision win against Henry Cejudo and notable victories over Chris Gutierrez and Ricky Simon. These results underscore his capability to compete effectively over distance against seasoned opponents, contributing to his strong position in the betting market.

Figueiredo remains a dangerous opponent, which explains why his odds are not longer, despite the market’s movement against him. He boasts a formidable finishing history, with 9 knockout wins and 9 submission victories on his UFC record, demonstrating a threat across multiple fighting disciplines.

However, his recent performances at bantamweight raise concerns. Figueiredo suffered a unanimous decision loss to Umar Nurmagomedov in January 2026 and has lost three of his last four fights in the 135-pound division. While this recent form doesn’t negate his inherent danger, it makes the underdog case more challenging against a quick and active contender like Song.

From a betting perspective, Song appears to be the more reliable choice. The most prudent approach is to back him rather than pursuing speculative prop bets on a specific finish. Figueiredo’s potential to secure a finish is a real factor due to his history, but the current odds suggest that most bettors believe Song’s pace and comfort in the division offer a more consistent path to victory. Therefore, Song winning by decision seems to be the most plausible outcome, with a straightforward outright win for Song being a more calculated bet than attempting to predict the method of victory at the current odds.

By Jack Thornley

Jack Thornley is a passionate MMA journalist based in Bristol. With over a decade covering everything from local amateur bouts to international UFC events, Jack brings an insider's perspective to his articles. His candid interviews with fighters reveal the human stories behind the combat.

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